It's been a great week. I've been able to apply a new strategy dealing with negatively correlated pairs and I've also been able to put together a couple of reasonably successful days by working to curb my greed and waiting for appropriate entry times based on my signals.How successful were these last couple of days?Yesterday I increased the NAV on my high risk account by ~5.6 percent. Today I

No, I'm not here to tell you that I've overcome greed.However, I can tell you how damaging it is to let greed get involved in your decision making process. Generally, it works like this:You see a pair moving in a direction, let's say up, and you want aboard before the big move.You grab a piece of this pair right then, so you won't be left behind.You look at your charts and see that you've bought

Retail Forex market became very popular after the development of the on-line trading technologies. Millions of new traders are attracted to Forex each year. They try to earn profits trading the currencies, developing the new intraday strategies and gaining on the long-term trends. But why does the retail FX market exist? Is it only a way to earn money for the brokers and some lucky traders? Here is the list of some functions — obvious and not — that are performed by the retail Forex market:

1. Earning opportunity — this is probably the most popular, obvious and important function of the retail Forex market. It provides the earning opportunity to traders, brokers, affiliates, webmasters, marketing companies and a lot of other on-line industries. Without a promise of profits retail Forex market would be limited to a simple exchange of the physical or current-account money.
2. Extra liquidity — this is definitely a positive function of the retail currency market. Although, not many traders use huge amounts of cash on Forex, the total sum of the money provided by the retail customers adds a good chunk of liquidity to the Forex market.
3. Extra volatility — a not very positive function at a first glance. Retail Forex market makes the rate movement less smooth and more volatile as the traders prefer short-term trading, which leads to the sharp reactions on the daily news and technical signals. Excess volatility is bad for the long-term traders, but it can be good for those who know how to benefit from such markets.
4. Social function — many communities were formed around the Forex trading. Traders prefer to get help from other traders and they also like to share the knowledge that is related to Forex.
5. Technical strategy development — popularity of the Forex trading and especially the on-line and automated versions of this trading led to the creation of thousands of the automated trading strategies. Based on technical analysis some of such strategies can be applied not only in Forex trading but in many other industries.

Of course, this list can't be considered as full and complete, but these functions are the main attributes of the contemporary retail Forex market, in my opinion.

What is the first thing that comes to mind when you think of Forex trading? I'm willing to bet that it isn't fun.Well, recently I've been enjoying trading a little more than usual.While doing a bit of reading I found a link talking about currency correlations. Go take a look at the charts provided (scroll down a bit). Notice anything? Generally, when a currency pair you are holding rises or

Practicing on the demo accounts before moving on to the real money trading is an obvious requirement for successful participating on the Forex market. It’s always better to lose virtual money while you are learning new market theories, developing your trading system or improving your practical Forex skills. But is it right to jump from the virtual account to a big real money one when you suddenly realize that you manage to be profitable for a long period of time in your demo trading? Here are some reasons to move on to just a small real account before risking a lot of hard-earned money on Forex:

1. Real trading is different from virtual, because you get real emotions when you lose or earn money. Trading with $100 on real will get you more real feeling than trading with $10,000 on demo. It’s better to lose $50-$100 to learn controlling those emotions than several thousands dollars.
2. Know your broker’s real account servers’ behavior. With some brokers virtual trading is smooth and fast, while real account bring unpleasant surprises with order delays, requites, refusals, slippage and stop-hunting. Trading with a small real account can save you big money if you are unlucky to stumble upon a bad broker.
3. Know your broker’s funds handling practice. Don’t risk depositing thousands dollars before trying small deposits to see how smooth transfers go with this broker. Pay attention to user support if you encounter some problems with the depositing or withdrawing your money. If your broker doesn’t take seriously small money deposits/withdrawals than you should be careful with it, since it may treat big amounts the money in the same way.
4. Practicing on small real account has another advantage before the demo trading – you get the real rewards when you trade right and you get real losses when you do something wrong. This way you’ll quickly learn to do everything right and won’t be doing the same mistakes again and again.
   

Demo trading is one of the greatest tools to learn Forex trading, just don’t forget that nothing will teach you better than trading on a real account. But why risk big before being confident in your skills, when you can start with a small-size real account?

Though my wife is happy that there isn't any Forex trading during the weekends I certainly wish there was. I enjoy trading but generally don't have that much opportunity to do so during the work week... and I'm anything but a full time professional.So, the past week was fairly successful. Thanks to the recovery in the AUD carry trades I managed to catch a nice downturn in the EURAUD. I did

Perhaps, the first indicator you’ve seen and used when you first started to trade Forex was Moving Average. For me it was that. Moving averages come in several forms — simple, weighted, exponential, smoothed, etc. And they present the most basic way to measure the current trend direction and to spot its change. At a first glance simple moving average indicator looks like a miraculous tool that is easy to use and can tell you where to enter a position and where to exit one. Let’s try to understand this indicator — is it really as good as it seems?

What moving average shows? No matter if it’s a simple, exponential or any other form of MA the only thing it’s showing is the average rate of the currency pair over a certain period of time, hence the name. For example, MA with a period set to 7 on a daily chart for any given bar will show the average price over the previous 7 bars (days). That’s not a magic, right? Various forms of moving average just influence the way to calculate the average value (to make the line look more smooth or sharp, or to throw out spikes), but in the end we get the averages of the previous periods.

So what happens when the current price crosses MA? Faster MA crosses slower MA? 3 MAs cross each other? The cross of the MA and a price or other MA (or any amount of other MAs) is usually considered as the buy/sell signal or at least a partial signal. Why? Because they really show a change in the trend. The problem is that the change could have happened long ago (up to the MA’s period bars ago). When the moving average is crossed by the price chart from below that simply means the current price became higher than the average price for the last N bars (where N is the period of MA) — that’s it and nothing else. If MA with a period of 7 days crosses MA with a period of 14 days from below that means that the average price in the last 7 days is higher than the average price during the last 14 days (the actual trend change here could happen up to 14 days ago). Some strategies employ even 5 moving averages cross — that won’t change the fact that the only thing you’ll know when such cross occurs is the ratio of the average price over 5 different periods.

So is there any point to use moving average? Yes, I think that the moving average is a good indicator, but not as a signal producer or a trend change indicator. What does it do best? It indicates the average price. So, it’s better to use it when you want to know the average price over a certain period. You can compare current price to the moving average to consider overbought/oversold state, measure the volatility comparing the price action with the large-period MAs, use the long-term moving averages as the support and resistance levels (because so many traders and even institutional traders use it in this way), etc.

Maybe that’s not a pleasant thing to know if you base your trading strategy on moving averages’ crosses, but the facts don’t lie and with more trading experience it becomes clear that moving averages can’t do magic and shouldn’t be used as an easy way to create another Forex strategy.