28 Sep 2007

Okay, if we were at bottom a few days ago, it was only a soft bottom!Right now, according to the charts I'm viewing, this pair is trading at 0.9925, which is nearing a penny below parity. I can hardly imagine what such a drastic change in rates, worldwide, truly means to the state of global economic affairs.Perhaps the current administration has done the unthinkable? Perhaps the US predominance

26 Sep 2007

Okay, I think it is nearly safe to say that the USDCAD has hit bottom.Heh, actually, it's probably not safe to say, but it has certainly found some support at and above the 0.9950 level. I think that the downward pressure from speculators has now eased.I also think the downward jump has been overdone.However, assuming I'm right, and I'm finding that often I am, I don't know how long it will take

21 Sep 2007

Well, I'm not sure if the USDCAD has finally hit bottom or not. It's around parity today which is pretty much what people were talking about.Now, I did purchase some before parity. So, I'm underwater, holding my breath, wondering how much time it might take before I'll notice some buoyancy and float back to the surface.I guess this makes me a swing trader, because now I'm looking at holding my

19 Sep 2007

There has been a lot of frenzied action since yesterday's Fed rate cuts.Personally, I've activated an account with OANDA. They allow very small accounts and any size of trade. Also, you can trade less common currency pairs at reasonable spreads. For example, during normal trading, the spread on the EURUSD is usually 0.9 pips. That's great!Anyhow, more experiments under way.I've got some

14 Sep 2007

Down and down it goes, where it will stop, nobody knows.Just how low can the USD go compared to the CAD? Parity is an option. Below parity is an option. However, there have to be some fundamentals that come into play here. The amount of trade between the USA and Canada is huge!Traditionally, the USD has always sat above the CAD.Anyway, I'm not sure parity or below is realistic. I'm starting
I'm dabbling in the EURTRY carry trade situation.Due to the difference in interest rates you can pocket a bit of change as long as you maintain your short position. Obviously, however, nothing is free. The EURTRY market has a lot of volatility complete with sharp price spikes on the order of 1500 pips!This means that you cannot leave a position completely open or you will risk the value of your

13 Sep 2007

Well, whether it is a small correction or not I have no idea, but the USDJPY has gone down enough to remove me from the market. So, my profits have been pocketed and I need to look for opportunities to get back in.The same is true for my AUDUSD holdings.I'm starting to look into the USDCAD, in the long term, but there is always the risk that the US dollar will take a dump when the Tuesday

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