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27 Des 2007

Sterling dropped to a record low versus the euro on concern that the Bank of England may lower its interest rates again in the beginning of next year. The greenback is soft across the board as momentum market participants took profits.

The BOE rate cut speculation arose last week when the Bank of England released its December monetary policy meeting minutes, which showed a unanimous vote for a 25-bp rate cut this month. Also, the bank heightened the impact of recent financial market turmoil and the consequent credit market tightness on the economy and inflation. The BOE and Fed are both likely to have a couple of rate cuts in the coming year, which weigh on their currencies.

In contrast, the European Central Bank may keep its benchmark rate unchanged. The euro rose to 0.7311 versus the sterling, and tested a resistance level at 1.45 against the dollar.

Financial markets in Australia, Hong Kong and the UK are closed for the Boxing Day. Currency trading will remain very light towards the end of this year.

Tomorrow will see US durable goods orders report, weekly job report and consumer confidence. Durable goods orders are seen to rise 2.0% in November, compared with a 0.2% decline in the previous month. Core durable goods orders are likely to increase 0.3%, versus a prior month¡¯s reading of ¨C0.4%. Weekly initial claims are expected to change from 346k to 342k. US consumer confidence is estimated to fell from 87.3 to 86.5.

EURUSD will face interim resistance at 1.45, followed by 1.4530 and 1.4550. Additional ceilings will emerge at 1.4580, backed by 1.46. Support starts at 1.4470, backed by 1.4430, 1.44 and 1.4380. Subsequent floors are eyed at 1.4350.

GBPUSD encounters interim resistance at 1.98, backed by 1.9850 and 1.9870. Subsequent ceilings will emerge at 1.99, followed by 1.9930 and 1.9980. On the downside, support begins at 1.9760, followed by 1.9730 and 1.97. Additional floors are eyed at 1.9670, backed by 1.9650 and 1.9620.

USDJPY encounters interim resistance at 114.50, backed by 114.80 and 115. Subsequent ceilings will emerge at 115.30, followed by 115.50 and 116. On the downside, support begins at 114.20 and 114, followed by 113.80. Additional floors are eyed at 113.50, backed by 113.20 and 113.

21 Des 2007

Hey all,

I have been on a forex books posting spree for quite a while. Now, going back to whats actually happening in our Fx Market, The yen has suffered a major setback against all major currencies on Friday trading session. The greenback managed its best against the Yen since the 7th of November.

Sterling Goes in deep waters


The sterling continued to drift lower, falling to a record low versus the euro at 0.7254 as market sentiment anticipates the increased likelihood for additional BoE rate cuts in the coming year. With recent economic data from the UK remaining soft, combined with dovish commentary from the BoE – we expect the Bank to cut rates by another 25-basis point in January and possibility for further easing in the first half.

Retail sales were largely unchanged at 4.4% y/y, while slightly higher on the monthly reading to 0.4%.

Now, focussing on more statistics

Cable holds steady near 1.9830, with support seen at 1.98, backed by 1.9765 and 1.9720. Additional floors are eyed at 1.97, followed by 1.9650 and 1.96. On the upside, resistance begins at 1.9875, followed by 1.99 and 1.9930. Subsequent ceilings will emerge at 1.9960 and 2.

Figures and statistics supported by forexnews

Now, if you liked this story, you might like to give us a digg or a stumble or check out the Forex Books in our FOREX BOOKS SECTION

Or simply check out our homepage for the latest forex books we added including Forex Conquered, How I traded for a living, Mastering the Elliot Wave and much more.

Enjoy and do leave your comments back!

3 Nov 2007

For someone with zero experience and knowledge in the Forex market, getting started in the trading can be an overwhelming task. Various pitfalls, such as huge losses, can discourage even the most experienced trader. Since Forex trading can be a confusing business, you need to follow several guidelines to success.

First, learn Forex trading by choosing the most qualified brokerage firm. Although some firms are better than others are, you have a ton of options in terms of age, reputation and courses to offer. Generally, you should choose a well-established company with a good reputation that is tied to banks or various financial institutions. To ensure that a brokerage firm is legitimate, check if the company is registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
To learn Forex trading effectively, the brokerage firm should provide you with multiple research tools, such as charts, real-time quotes, trading techniques and research reports. You should choose a firm that offers its account holders as much information as possible. Be aware that the more knowledgeable you are with Forex trading, the more successful you can become in the market. Lastly, choose a highly regarded brokerage form with favorable spread. Be aware that a company with a good spread means that the firm takes off the top of each trade, translating into more profit for you.

In order to learn Forex trading, you need hands-on courses that allow you to experience the market firsthand. Of course, investing money without proper knowledge can lead to disastrous losses, so opening up a demo account should be your next move. With this demo account, you learn Forex trading firsthand because you will be given a pretend balance, which you could use to play around and experience the feel for Forex trading before using real money.
Most demo accounts are free-of-charge for an entire month. During this time, you can learn Forex trading and all its features, techniques and tricks without losing any money. Plus, you are able to master the software, which enables you to make fast trades when the time comes to trade. It is important not to rush the 1-month trial period because this is the most important phase of your trading course.

Once you learn Forex trading and experience a whole month's worth of market experience, then you can now use a real account with actual money. However, never invest large amounts of money; start small and try not to break the bank when getting started in the market place. By choosing a good broker, maximizing the benefits of a demo account and taking your investment one-step at a time, you learn Forex trading can be a fulfilling experience when executed the right way.

25 Okt 2007

The dollar edged down slightly after a report showed US housing sector continues to slump. US existing home sales fell 8% in September to an annual rate of 5.04 million units, below the estimate of 5.25 million. The euro climbed to 1.4267 versus the dollar, while the sterling gained 20 pips to 2.0515 against the dollar. Tomorrow the market will pay attention to US new home sales which are seen down from 795k to 780k.

Earlier today, Merrill Lynch reported 7.9 billion losses for the third quarter, exceeding the 5 billion estimate made earlier this month. The larger-than-expected writedown promoted investors to reduce demand for carry trades, boosting the yen against high yielding currencies. The yen is trading around the 114 level against the dollar on Wednesday.ECB board member Gonzalez said today “a mechanical increase in inflation above 2% is not sufficient reason to change our assessment of risks to price stability.” He said the central bank will ignore an inflation rise if it is driven by oil price surge recently, indicating the central bank would not rush to lift rate. The ECB is expected to keep its interest rates at 4.00% unchanged till the end of this year.German IFO survey for October is due early tomorrow morning.


The headline is seen to fall slightly from 104.2 to 103.8. The current conditions index is expected to change from 109.9 to 109.4. The expectations index is expected to change from 98.7 to 98.4.EURUSD will face interim resistance at 1.4280, followed by 1.43 and 1.4340. Additional ceilings will emerge at 1.4370, backed by 1.44. Support starts at 1.4230, backed by 1.42, 1.4170 and 1.4150. Subsequent floors are eyed at 1.41. GBPUSD encounters interim resistance at 2.0540, backed by 2.06 and 2.0650. Subsequent ceilings will emerge at 2.0680, followed by 2.07 and 2.0720. On the downside, support begins at 2.05, followed by 2.0470 and 2.0450. Additional floors are eyed at 2.0430, backed by 2.04 and 2.0350.USDJPY encounters interim resistance at 114.30, backed by 114.50 and 114.80. Subsequent ceilings will emerge at 115, followed by 115.20 and 115.50. On the downside, support begins at 114 and 113.80, followed by 113.50. Additional floors are eyed at 113.20, backed by 113 and 112.70.

20 Okt 2007

Hey guys,,,

Here are the following important events in the forex world that have already elapsed in the month of october and the rest that are going to happen.. and new readers pls check out over forex ebooks section

1 Monday

2 Tuesday

3 WednesdayRBA Interest Rates Decision. (09.30 Local Time).

4 ThursdayBOE MPC announces interest rates decision. 13.00 CET.
ECB Governing Council meeting. Interest rates decision at 13.45 CET. News conference at 14.30 CET.

5 FridayUS Employment situation. 14.30 CET.
US Consumer Credit. 19.00 CET.

8 MondayUS, CA and JP market holiday.

9 TuesdayUS FOMC Minutes. 20.00 CET.

10 WednesdayBOJ starts two-day monetary policy meeting. (to oct 11).
Discussion group on Euorpean monetary policy. 20.15 CET.
US Whole sale Trade. 16.00 CET.

11 ThursdayBOJ monetary policy meeting (final day). Release of monthly economic report. 08.00 CET, BOJ Governor Fukui to holds news conference at 08.30 CET.
ECB publishes its monthly bulletin. 10.00 CET.
ECB Pres Trichet and Bank of Russia Chairman Ignatyev news conference. 11.15 CET.
The European Commission issues its quarterly growth forecast for the euro zone.
US International Trade. 14.30 CET.

12 FridayUS PPI and Retail Sales. 14.30 CET.
Fed Chairman Bernanke speaks on "John Taylor's Contributions to Economics". 15.10 CET.

15 MondayFed Chairman Bernanke speaks before the Economic Club of New York.

16 TuesdayBOC Key interest rates policy announcement. 13.00 CET.
US Industrial Production. 15.15 CET.

17 WednesdayBOE to publish minutes of its oct 3-4 MPC meeting.
US PPI and Housing Starts. 14.30 CET.
US Beige Book. 20.00 CET.

18 ThursdayBOC releases Monthly Policy report. 16.30 CET. News conference at 17.15 CET.
US Leading indicators. 16.00 CET.

19 Friday

22 Monday

23 Tuesday

24 Wednesday

25 ThursdayRBNZ Official Cash Ratio (OCR) announcement.
ECB Governing Council meeting. No interest rates announcements scheduled.
US Durable Goods Orders. 14.30 CET.
US New Home Sales. 16.00 CET.

26 FridayUS Consumer Sentiment. 16.00 CET.

29 Monday

30 TuesdayUS Consumer Confidence. 16.00 CET.

31 WednesdayNorwegian central bank’s interest rates decision. 14.00 CET. News Conference at 14.45 CET.
US Fed FOMC interest Rates decision. 20.15 CET.

17 Okt 2007

Hey guys,

Its article time again. Worked on this for a while.

I compiled the most frequently asked questions with regard to the Forex market. Here it is. feel free to put it on your blog or site but just make sure you mention where you got it from.

MOST FAQ about the FOREX MARKET

With over $1.4 Trillion traded daily, the Forex market stands out as the largest financial market in the world currently. Still, it is an unfamiliar territory to many common people and amateur investors. If you are a fresher or a pro and would like to refresh your knowledge on the Forex market, you are on the right page. In this article, I will cover the most commonly asked questions related to the Forex market. For free ebooks and guides on getting started with Forex trading, Go here! And also check on the same site, the article “Why Forex?” (Its in the blog archive and gives you some awesome reasons why you really must invest in the forex market) And to enlighten yourself on the FAQ regarding the Forex market, please continue reading this article.

How does this market differ from other markets?
It differs from other markets like stock market in the simple fact that its not regulated by a central governing body. There exists no clearinghouses to guarantee the trades and there is also no arbitration panel to resolve and decide upon disputes. Credit agreements are what the trading is based on. So, truthfully speaking, business in the largest liquid market depends simply on a metaphorical handshake.

This might seem out of the world or plain weird to investors used to structured exchanges like the NYSE or CME. But this arrangement actually works out pretty well in practice as investors and brokers must compete and co-operate with each other at the same time.

The FX market is so different from other markets in some ways that are sure to raise eyebrows. If you feel that the EUR/USD is going to spiral downwards in near future? Feel free to short the pair at will( Selling short is the opposite of going long. That is, short sellers make money if the stock goes down in price. This is an advanced trading strategy with many unique risks and pitfalls. Novice investors are advised to avoid short sales.)

There is no limit to the size of the position you can gain. Theoretically speaking, you could sell $100 million of currency if you had the capital to do so. If you could some how manage to gain information on the immediate future of a particular currency, you could well be a millionaire in no time. The Fact is European economic data, such as German employment figures, are often leaked days before they are officially released.

Before we leave you with the wrong impression that Forex or Foreign exchange is the Wild West of finance, we must also note that this is the most liquid market in the world. Forex is a 24 Hours trading opportunity. It’s not going be like you wait for the Forex shop down the street to open. As a Forex Trader, you get the opportunity to trade 24 hours from Sunday 5:00 pm (ET) to Friday 4:30 pm.

This means you can do trading upon your convenience and based on your schedule. It also provides you the opportunity to act immediately upon golden breaking news from the market.



Where is the commission in FX?

Investors in stock market, futures or options generally use a broker who acts as an agent in the subsequent transactions. The broker does an exchange based on the investor’s instructions. For this, he gets paid a commission.

However, the Forex market doesn’t have commissions. It is a principals only market.
Forex firms are dealers, and not brokers. This is a very critical distinction that all investors must understand. Commission is not charged by them. They make their profits through the bid-ask spread (The amount by which the ask price exceeds the bid. This is essentially the difference in price between the highest price that a buyer is willing to pay for an asset and the lowest price for which a seller is willing to sell it. For example, if the bid price is $20 and the ask price is $21 then the "bid-ask spread" is $1.

What is a pip?

Pip is an abbreviation used for “Percentage in Profit” It is the smallest increment of trade in the Forex market. In the Forex market,prices are stated to the fourth decimal point. For eg: a Cadbury bar that costed $2.70 in your nearby supermarket will be quoted as $2.7000 in the Forex market. A change in the fourth decimal of that will be a pip.

We can simply put it that it is 1/100th of 1% or 0.0001 %


What are you really selling or buying in the currency market?
Simply “NOTHING”. The Foreign exchange or Forex market is merely a speculative market. There is no physical exchanging of currencies there. All the trades are present as computer entries and netted out based on the market prices.

For accounts that are denominated in dollars, all the profits and losses would be calculated in dollars and recorded on the traders account in dollars.

Which currencies are traded?

Some mind blowing and exotic options would be the Thai bath or the Czech koruna , but the majority of trading in the Forex market is based on the seven most liquid currency pairs.

They are

  • EUR/USD (euro/dollar)
  • USD/JPY (dollar/Japanese yen)
  • GBP/USD (British pound/dollar)
  • USD/CHF (dollar/Swiss franc)

and the three commodity pairs:

  • AUD/USD (Australian dollar/dollar)
  • USD/CAD (dollar/Canadian dollar)
  • NZD/USD (New Zealand dollar/dollar)

These currency pairs, along with their various combinations (such as EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY and EUR/GBP) account for more than 95% of all speculative trading in the Forex market..

FX Jargon

Every field possesses its own jargon and the Forex market is no different as such.

Here are some terms which are worthwhile learning.

  • Cable, sterling, pound – the alternative names for GBP
  • Greenback, buck - nicknames for the U.S. dollar
  • Swissie - nickname for the Swiss franc,
  • Aussie - nickname for the Australian dollar .
  • Kiwi - nickname for the New Zealand dollar
  • Loonie, the little dollar - nicknames for the Canadian dollar
  • Figure - FX term connoting a round number like 1.2000
  • Yard - a billion units, as in "I sold a couple of yards of sterling."

Well Guys,


Unpredictability is an integral part of the foreign exchange market (FOREX)

So whenever you need to check the latest currency values be it USD value today or latest GBP/USD value, you can check here. The latest values are in the table and the ticker. Any more currency requests that you would like us to keep a track on will be added.


And yeah, read this article

The major currencies pared their gains versus the dollar in the Tuesday session as the upcoming G7 Finance Minister’s meeting looms. Traders pushed the Aussie beneath the 0.90-level to 0.8825 and the sterling below the 2.03-mark. With growing unease over whether the G7 communiqué will address concerns about recent dollar and yen weakness, both currencies regained footing amid unwinding of heavy shorts.

The greenback kicked off the New York session initially weaker on the heels of soft US economic data. The reports included a record net overall capital outflows (TIC) in August at $163.0 billion, compared with a $94.3 billion inflow a month prior. The new private capital outflow component hit a record $141.9 billion versus an inflow of $56.0 billion from July. Industrial output for September was in line with consensus estimates at 0.1%, down slightly from August at 0.2%. Capacity utilization was down marginally at 82.1% versus 82.2% from July. Meanwhile, the NAHB housing market index continued to suggest deteriorating conditions, falling by more than estimates to 18 for October versus 20 in September. The decline marked the fifth consecutive month the index has fallen, hitting its lowest level since initiation in 1985.

Fed Chairman Bernanke provided few clues into the FOMC policy decision at the end of the month, sounding an upbeat tone on credit conditions and saying the improvement bolsters the scope for achieving moderate growth with price stability. He reiterated uncertainties looming over the housing market, saying conditions in the mortgage markets remain difficult. Bernanke was optimistic on growth, saying some of the solid momentum from Q2 seems to have carried over into Q3. Although we expect another 25-basis point rate cut from the FOMC this year, we look for the Fed to stand pat at the end of this month, instead opting to ease at the December 11th meeting.


GBP Retreats

The sterling pulled back sharply after several failed attempts this week to break above the upper channel line near 2.0450. Cable now trades near the base of the channel around the 2.03-level, with the trendline support hovering around 2.230.

Economic data released from the UK revealed mixed inflation readings, with September CPI slightly lower than expected at 0.1% m/m and 1.8% y/y. The retail price index was also lower than expected at 3.9% y/y and 0.3% m/m while the core RPI was unchanged at 2.8% y/y and 0.3% m/m.

With increases in inflation contained at this point, we continue to anticipate the next BoE rate move to be an ease to alleviate tightening credit conditions in the UK. Traders will look ahead to UK August unemployment rate, September claimant count and the minutes from the Bank of England monetary policy meeting.

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